This is the first outlook for winter 2015-2016, another updated version will follow at the end of November if it is needed.
For the December to Beginning of January time frame, the signal is for mostly average if not above average temperatures as we have Atlantic weather systems affecting our weather. At the moment the models have signalled that there could be a brief cold spell around Christmas, however it is just too early to say if this will actually happen. Snow at this time is likely to stay to higher elevation in the north. From the end of January to the beginning of February the signals are the the temperatures will fluctuate between above average temperatures and below average temperatures. This would signal that there would be a pretty active jet stream in at this time bring us in spells of warm weather and rain when it fluctuates to the north of us, and when it dives to the south it will give us Cooler weather and most likely frosts. Snow at this time would be mainly in the North at this time. After this spell of weather there are signals that the period from late February till the end of March is likely to be cooler than average. At times there will be Lake Effect snow coming in of the north sea. At this time snow would be most likely the further east you are. This would mean that a blocking area would most likely set up home over Scandinavia and bring us a spell of cooler windier weather from the east. This period would be prone to frosts. As these are long range forecasts it is difficult to even predict what is going to happen in the next week so these are likely to be wrong. This is only to give you an idea of the sort of winter that models are indicating at the moment. It could take one late season hurricane in the Atlantic basin to change this whole forecast or a weather bomb in the northern Atlantic!!!
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