I hate to say that just after i posted to say that there would be no more snow till February, the models have changed again. Because of the uncertainty surrounding this, at this moment in time over night Tuesday into Wednesday could see some potential disruptive snow heading our way. We will clear this up tomorrow evening, however at the moment 2-4cm is likely and 5-10 is possible locally. Please stay tuned to the forecast especially as temperatures are expected to be well below freezing anyway leading to potentially ice conditions.
We will update you again tomorrow evening!
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Yes, that is right on Sunday morning many of you will have woken up to scenes of snow. Totals Ranged from Near nothing in Hampstead, to 2cm in Finchley, to 4cm in Barnet.
At the moment no significant snow is in the forecast, however the outlook shows the potential for a significant cold snap before, or Just after valentines day!!! Models at the moment are signalling towards a possible cold snap starting in around 10 days time and then eventually by around the 20th bringing potentially some significant snowfall. The first thing that is clear is that to start off with we will get some much awaited dry, crisp, clear winters day's.
As it is along way of snowfall at this time is not guaranteed. We will keep you updated as we get near the time. So Far This Winter as expected it has been quite as far as wintry weather is concerned.
Here is the one Event so Far; 21st Nov: Very heavy snowfall lead to 0.8cm on grassy surfaces + cars. it had rained before hand and afterwards so no significant settling. 40-50mph winds lead to poor visibility at times and near white out conditions. This lasted about an hour at about 7:30am. 13th Jan: Thunder storms dumped 2cm of hail in 10mins. Thunder lightning and gusts of wind up to 45mph. The ice blocked the water from draining so when it had stopped water was gushing everywhere. A tornado was reported in Harrow and Wales.
17th Jan: Snow showers some heavy lead to slight accumulations after a hard frost. 28th Jan: At just before midday slushy hail shower fell, with 40-50mph wind gusts. 29th Jan: Heavy hail dumped 2cm of snow at just before 3pm. Then more hail and sleet showers followed turning to snow at times. Slight accumulations did happen in places. A light dusting in the Pm. 30th Jan: Snow flurries. 31st Jan: Light dusting over night. sleet and snow Am at times giving accumulations mainly on grass. Sleet, Snow and occasional rain showers continued till mid afternoon. 1st Feb: Light dusting over night on cars and grass only. Snow flurries followed at around midday. 3rd Feb: 1.5cm 5th Feb: 1cm fell widely Am. As much as 4cm fell locally. Snow Flurries followed. 23rd Feb: Heavy hail showers fell with some rain and sleet mixed in. 24th Feb: Isolated heavy hail showers. 3rd March: Heavy hail and sleet showers. 24th March: Sleet and hail flurries Am. Followed by some quite heavy hail and sleet showers. 6th May: Torential Thunderstorms caused near white out conditions with the hail and rain that fell. This is the first outlook for winter 2015-2016, another updated version will follow at the end of November if it is needed.
For the December to Beginning of January time frame, the signal is for mostly average if not above average temperatures as we have Atlantic weather systems affecting our weather. At the moment the models have signalled that there could be a brief cold spell around Christmas, however it is just too early to say if this will actually happen. Snow at this time is likely to stay to higher elevation in the north. From the end of January to the beginning of February the signals are the the temperatures will fluctuate between above average temperatures and below average temperatures. This would signal that there would be a pretty active jet stream in at this time bring us in spells of warm weather and rain when it fluctuates to the north of us, and when it dives to the south it will give us Cooler weather and most likely frosts. Snow at this time would be mainly in the North at this time. After this spell of weather there are signals that the period from late February till the end of March is likely to be cooler than average. At times there will be Lake Effect snow coming in of the north sea. At this time snow would be most likely the further east you are. This would mean that a blocking area would most likely set up home over Scandinavia and bring us a spell of cooler windier weather from the east. This period would be prone to frosts. As these are long range forecasts it is difficult to even predict what is going to happen in the next week so these are likely to be wrong. This is only to give you an idea of the sort of winter that models are indicating at the moment. It could take one late season hurricane in the Atlantic basin to change this whole forecast or a weather bomb in the northern Atlantic!!! Snow does look possible for tomorrow morning. North London is going to be the dividing line for mos of tomorrow for getting rain or snow. Some parts will get snow and some will just miss out. Snow fall totals however don't look to impressive anyway. Any places that do see snow tomorrow morning will likely see around 0.8 of a cm. This is because it is likely to turn to rain after about an hour or two. Winds tomorrow morning are also likely to be a feature and in the heaviest of burst could lower visibility and cause some minor disruption. Snow will also likely fall during the heavier bursts even after it transfers to rain!!! After this we will likely have two nights of frost before business returns as usual from the west.
The big question on peoples minds at the moment is are we going to get the U.S.A cold weather...1/7/2015 THE BIG QUESTION ON PEOPLES MINDS AT THE MOMENT IS ARE WE GOING TO GET THE U.S.A COLD WEATHER...
The answer is eventually. At the moment the jet stream is sitting in between Iceland and Scotland. This isn't expected to change until at least the beginning of next week. It looks as though the dip in the jet stream will start to turn up on our shores. The jet stream will take a couple of days to slip southwards. The temperatures won't be anything near as cold as they were in America, as the air will have been warmed up by the warm Atlantic it has to pass over to get here. Rather than -30 centigrade, the temperatures will start of the week above average at about 12-13 degrees in most areas, and by the end of the week most places except the south will be around 3 or 4 degrees. The south will still be daily fluctuating between 5-9 degrees. After this period we are unsure at the moment how far south the jet stream will go but there is the chance that it will get somewhat colder. As the jet stream is on its way south it will send some low pressure systems directly at us. This cold lead to widespread surface water flooding and windy conditions. There is even the chance of a few named storms. We will keep you updated as we get more information on this story!!! News just in!!!!!
Worst winter ever recorded expected to hit as early as 10 days time. Yes, That's Wright the worst winter on record is expected this year with the lowest temperature record (27.6 degrees centigrade) expected to be smashed and the record for the most continuous snow record is also expected to be smashed. The record was set in 1947 when it snowed continuously every day from January Till March. This winter we are going to pay for our warmer than average spring and autumn. It is expected to start as early as 10 days time due to a buckle in the jet stream allow a bit of the polar vortex to sit on top of us including some quite vigorous low pressure systems. At times this winter places as far south as Brighton and Bournemouth could see standing snow of over 30cm. Blizzard conditions are expected to set in for majority of the country except for the far south west. We recommend that you do have back up food in the house as if this forcast is correct we could be having lengthy periods in our houses this festive period. With a white Christmas very likely this year Christmas travels are unlikely to be going ahead as temperatures are expected to be well below freezing for majority of December. We will keep you update as we get the information!!! This morning the country had it's first widespread frost of this winter. As far as we are concerned this is the anomaly over the next few day and probably week as it looks like Atlantic lows will be influencing our weather. We cannot rule out the odd wintry shower over the hills of Scotland and northern England over the next few days, but i will be an exception rather than the rule.
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