Storm three is actually going to take quite a while to move in from the south making landfall somewhere on the south coast near the Isle of Wight in the early hours of Tuesday morning. On Monday the storm will be gathering strength on the near continent and therefore ahead of this strong winds of 50+mph will be seen across the Southern counties of England. Throughout the day on Tuesday storm 3 will position itself across the country and in doing so weaken dramatically rising from 986mp to 996mpb. This will slowly ease of the wind before gradually moving into the north sea in the early hours of Wednesday. Rain will be a problem (See Amber Warning) and winds are likely to gust to 70+mph in exposed areas. Please see the warnings page for the latest information on the storm.
As for the outlook it looks as though we will see an area of high pressure build in and settle things down for a time. We will keep you updated if anything changes.
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Storm 2 has now been numbered and here is all you need to know about the storm...
Storm 2 at the moment is sitting just to the west of Ireland gathering energy. Because of the shape of the jet stream the center of this storm throughout the day today will by pass Ireland and the come in from the south west making land fall at a strength of 986mb over Cornwall. It will the head on a path of North east throughout the night of Saturday and clear into the North sea somewhere near Norwich sometime on Sunday morning. The winds are likely to be a problem throughout the night with gusts of 70mph or higher in exposed places along the south coast and throughout the day on Sunday these winds will gradually ease of to around 50mph. The Snowfall that was predicted for the Northern edge of the storm has now been restricted to the southern Pennines and possibly the peak district, there is also a small chance of some snow on the leading edge on the moors in the Southwest and the mountains in Wales. The Rain however will be south of these regions mentioned above and could cause some problems with surface water flooding in the South. Rainfall totals could reach 40+mm in places, but a wide spread 20mm is possible. After the storm has moved through showers will be left behind which could be heavy and also produce hail and lightning. A quick update on Invest 02A, it does look like at the time of writing that it will strengthen into storm 3 and take an interesting track over France and then making a beeline for the South coast. A full update if this scenario seems possible will be at some point in the next day. We will keep you updated if anything changes. We are watching two areas of low pressure after a very inactive period of weather.
The First Invest 01A is likely to hit over night Saturday into the early hours of Sunday. This is very likely to become storm 2 by the time we get to tomorrow evening and firm up on the details. At the moment it is likely to bring potentially disruptive snow to the midlands and wales, as well as flooding rains to the South and east before heading out into the north sea. Winds are likely to be up to 70mph in exposed places. The wind is unlikely to wind down until the next system comes through. Invest 02A is less likely to become a number storm. partially because it is unorganised and also because it is likely to be far enough south that it doesn't directly effect the UK. However we are keeping an eye on it because of the small chance of the track shifting to the north and taking it into Southern England overnight Sunday and throughout the day Monday. This storm is still likely to bring some rain to the south and keep the winds gusting at 60mph in exposed places along the English channel. We will be providing more details on Invest 01A tomorrow evening or Saturday morning when the final details of the storm have been gathered in. Invest 02A we will keep monitoring and will update you at the same time. |